Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.388061 0.422122 0.458942 0.501899 0.550890 0.605322 0.670792
2025-11-02 0.323585 0.369337 0.422441 0.489432 0.572850 0.674921 0.811889
2025-11-09 0.285761 0.336437 0.398072 0.480088 0.588820 0.731835 0.941156
2025-11-16 0.259178 0.312263 0.379146 0.471906 0.601212 0.781821 1.066948
2025-11-23 0.239036 0.293408 0.363908 0.465120 0.612399 0.829324 1.196510
2025-11-30 0.227887 0.284785 0.360655 0.473374 0.644721 0.911537 1.398917
2025-12-07 0.215193 0.272776 0.351297 0.471258 0.660373 0.969240 1.573140
2025-12-14 0.204178 0.262078 0.342616 0.468793 0.674468 1.025825 1.760083
2025-12-21 0.191903 0.248694 0.328904 0.457055 0.671550 1.051559 1.891245
2025-12-28 0.187241 0.245736 0.330044 0.468340 0.708347 1.155798 2.228100
2026-01-04 0.181746 0.241140 0.328267 0.474544 0.736799 1.249289 2.577497
2026-01-11 0.175246 0.234628 0.323024 0.474370 0.753388 1.321656 2.903925
2026-01-18 0.166807 0.224977 0.312618 0.465118 0.752914 1.360165 3.162182
2026-01-25 0.158578 0.215277 0.301618 0.454057 0.747912 1.388580 3.409369
2026-02-01 0.151604 0.207134 0.292593 0.445675 0.747155 1.426908 3.714586
2026-02-08 0.145401 0.199869 0.284538 0.438322 0.747528 1.468188 4.059738
2026-02-15 0.139916 0.193458 0.277499 0.432218 0.749725 1.514749 4.462461
2026-02-22 0.137387 0.191556 0.277774 0.439642 0.781944 1.648972 5.374276
2026-03-01 0.133331 0.187022 0.273345 0.437740 0.793197 1.728282 6.111729
2026-03-08 0.129487 0.182656 0.268948 0.435523 0.803431 1.807728 6.955426
2026-03-15 0.124474 0.176192 0.260618 0.424958 0.792790 1.820738 7.410406
2026-03-22 0.123187 0.175736 0.262655 0.435114 0.833160 2.008997 9.420223
2026-03-29 0.121224 0.174069 0.262454 0.440694 0.863143 2.174116 11.697828